08-26-2020, 09:25 AM
(08-26-2020, 07:55 AM)Belsnickel Wrote: To help people feel better about things, here is Nate Silver's article discussing their electoral polling stuff: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/our-election-forecast-didnt-say-what-i-thought-it-would/?cid=referral_taboola_feed
Here is a snippet that is a good reminder about the information right now:
But the basic starting point for a probabilistic, poll-driven model ought to be this: Is polling in August a highly reliable way to predict the outcome in November?
The short answer is “no.”
LOL "DEWEY BEATS TRUMAN."