10-08-2020, 01:55 PM
The issue is your data seems off. I just pulled the 2019 death by month data, I then pulled the provisional death counts here (https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/COVID19/index.htm). I then used the deaths by all causes data by month and laid them against the corresponding months from 2019. Doing this we come to an excess death count of 273k from February through September.
Now, January isn't included in the provisional death counts because it's as it related to COVID and obviously COVID wasn't really being tracked here in January and therefor they didn't include it in their chart. However, even if I gave 2020 the most favorable of outcomes of 30k better than 2019 (2x 2020's best month) you'd still be around 240k deaths ahead of 2019.
The idiot who made your chart probably used the running provisional death count total (based on where it was on October 3rd), the issue was he didn't recognize that January was missing from that total, while all his other stats included January. When looking at the 3 year average of January missing at 269k people you then magically realize...that is where the 200k people went.
Now, January isn't included in the provisional death counts because it's as it related to COVID and obviously COVID wasn't really being tracked here in January and therefor they didn't include it in their chart. However, even if I gave 2020 the most favorable of outcomes of 30k better than 2019 (2x 2020's best month) you'd still be around 240k deaths ahead of 2019.
The idiot who made your chart probably used the running provisional death count total (based on where it was on October 3rd), the issue was he didn't recognize that January was missing from that total, while all his other stats included January. When looking at the 3 year average of January missing at 269k people you then magically realize...that is where the 200k people went.
