I don’t get the burrow or Bust thing?

[*ochocincos*]

(02-04-2020, 12:33 AM)Jpoore Wrote: Genuinely want to get it, but. I’m not in love with him. Could he end up being elite? Sure. But I see him in that Matt stafford cam newton 6-9 nfl qb type range. I see love also in that range but that’s not point of post. Burrow could also bust hard. If ur offered 3-4 1st round picks. U take it. Even if they’re not all this year. That’s means u have 8 1st round picks over next 4 years. U take that all day. U don’t risk it all for one player. Also tell me a qb besides Andrew luck who came into a bad situation and immediately turned it around. Pat mahomes? No they went 12-4 the year they drafted him surrounded by talent. Deshaun Watson? Try again. Surrounded by talent. Lamar jackson? Surrounded by talent. I could go down the list but.... pin the being we need as many high picks as we can be aside despite being optimistic about free agency, we are probably doing the same shit. If that’s the case, if we don’t trade back we’re what? Minimum  3 years away from actually contending. While joe could be great, he could also bust and if u get a blown away offer u have to take it.

It definitely helps that those guys went to teams that were already strong.
I firmly believe those QBs wouldn't be quite as successful if they went to a team like the Browns, Lions, Bengals, Jets, etc.
IIRC, the only QB drafted in the Top 5 in the past 20 years to win a Super Bowl has been Eli Manning.
It's been very rare for a QB drafted in the Top 5 to actually win a Super Bowl.

The Bengals could take the approach of building a bunch of talent for 2-3 years then go get a QB. But with uncertainty of how the new CBA next year will have rookie contracts structured, it may be better to get a QB this year and be on that (much) cheaper 5-year contract compared to a QB drafted in 1st round in the next 2-3 years under the new CBA.

With that said, Burrow has looked like the safest QB to come out of the draft since Andrew Luck. Only having one year of dominance can cause hesitation, but his production was no fluke. The reason for the difference is the playcalling. In 2018, the offense was much more run-oriented and Burrow was relegated to being a game manager. That was LSU's style for years. Run the ball and play good defense. With the addition of Joe Brady, it allowed Burrow to take the reins and he thrived. I am confident that if Burrow had the ability to return for another year and had the same style offense, we'd see another stellar year and it would remove the doubts about him.