07-31-2015, 01:00 AM
(07-30-2015, 02:11 PM)djs7685 Wrote: Anyhoo, Steve Smith is still really good, I don't know if you watched football last year or not, but I doubt he's going to magically fall off a cliff after looking fine last season.It's more likely that he will than won't.
Jumping off of the Cliff (35-plus years old)
As we saw in the first graph at the top of the article, the productivity of wide receivers really takes a dive after 34, making it hard to get excited about the comeback attempts of Randy Moss, Terrell Owens, and Plaxico Burress. Since Moss is the only employed member of this elderly trio, he’s being taken the highest with an ADP of WR43. That’s pretty high for a receiver who has been given the dreaded “snap count” designation in a mediocre pass offense. Besides, he only has 10 catches since week five of 2010.
Moss’ upside is causing his ADP to creep upwards, but don’t convince yourself that any receiver, especially one over 34, still has his upside from five years ago. Moss may be worth a late-round flier as the sixth receiver on your team, but there are plenty of young players that I’d prefer to take a chance on.
https://www.profootballfocus.com/blog/2012/08/27/age-of-decline-wr/
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