12-17-2018, 11:39 PM
(12-17-2018, 10:07 PM)wolverine515151 Wrote: By watching the games as evidence. Here's evidence for the past two years he is below average on deep balls. He's ranked 23.
https://www.footballoutsiders.com/stat-analysis/2018/deep-ball-project
This formula is ridiculous.
If a QB throws an accurate pass then what difference does it make it there is a defender close by or not? And anytime you throw subjective aspects like a receiver "having to adjust" it turns into garbage. What is the exact definition of "adjustment". What if the receiver has to raise his hands 6 inches? Or a foot? What if it is an intentional "back shoulder" throw? What if a receiver prefers to reach and make the catch with his hands instead of catching it against his body? And how can a six inch adjustment on a 60 yard pass be just as bad as a six inch adjustment on a 16 yard pass?
When you add in the subjective BS you get a formula that gives the same credit for a 16 yard pass "under pressure" into a "tight window" as it does for completing a 60 yard bomb where the receiver moves his hands 6 inches. Go read this guys comments about Dalton each year. It is clear he does not like Dalton. He clearly was harder on Dalton with his subjective grading because he does not like Dalton. Perfect example is while he brags about how this formula eliminates a WRs ability to bail out a QB he still claims Dalton was more efficient because he had better receivers.
Basically you have presented a formula that would allow a QB to never throw a ball over 16 yards, complete a lower percentage than Dalton, throw fewer tds than Dalton, throw more ints than Dalton and still be rated higher than Dalton.
