AJ’s decline...

[Truck_1_0_1_]

(11-19-2020, 02:00 PM)Whatever Wrote: The year you're referring to for Fitzgerald, the Cards had 4 different starting QB's, all of them scrubs.  You can't point the finger at QB play for AJ's struggles.

AJ is 23rd in targets, 68th in catches, and 82nd in receiving yards.  He has no TD's.  As I said, he's getting #1 target volume for #3 production.  

He is 158th in the league in yards per target.  To put that in perspective, Sample, Gio, and Mixon are all outranking him in that category.  He's also no longer drawing the tough matchups he was earlier in the year.  He seems disinterested, his effort is lacking at times, and I wouldn't personally want a guy who pulled what he did against Baltimore mentoring my young players.

3 years, $20 million?  He isn't worth half of that.  

Will admit, I completely forgot about the dumpster-fire at QB for 2 of those 3 years, so yeah, that's on me.

Still doesn't mean he's done.

Anyways, 3 years at 20 mil puts him somewhere between Willie Snead and Perriman:

Snead: 33 25 356 14.2 3 34 2.8 39.6 Much better catch% and 3 TDs, otherwise the same.
Corey Davis: 48 34 436 12.8 3 38 4.9 62.3 Better across the board.
Perriman: 24 16 219 13.7 2 50 3.2 43. Still better.

So yeah, I probably overvalued him a bit; would need to go under the 6 mil tier then, I guess, which puts him on par with Amendola and Patterson (who isn't really a typical WR).

Still think he's got something left in the tank though and I'll die on that hill.