11-06-2022, 01:49 AM
As for the original intent of this thread, I think it's looking more and more like a non-starter.
Trump is most certainly running and he will be emboldened by MAGA legislators if/when they win this Tuesday. He's not going tp take it easy on DeSantis.
Ideology is a major thing in the MAGA movement, but that's kind of the rub. Trump has no real ideology. His only motivation is self preservation/glorification. He's not in it for the Republican Party or even the MAGA crazies. He will run over Ron DeSantis like a dead dog in the road and his supporters will praise him for it. It will be Ted Cruz 2.0.
It's like Walter White said. DeSantis is New Coke and Trump is Coke Classic. No Maga cultist is picking the imitation over the real thing so long as it's on the shelf.
Party leaders surely will favor Ron, but they will face fierce retribution from the MTG crowd in the House. A pragmatist views DeSantis as a shoe-in 2024 candidate. He's all of the authoritarian nationalism with none of the baggage. He will smoke whatever sacrificial lamb the Dems trot out, and it won't be all that close. He's also much more predictable and guys like McConnell will seem him as a better tool to shape the GOP agenda.
Trump is plenty capable of winning in 24, but IMO is much less of a sure thing. He's the most polarizing political figure in modern US history. he may be indicted soon. He's completely uncontrollable by any surrogate, party elder, lawyer, or donor. He's the only person in America that can feasibly give power back to the Democrats. His candidacy gives them a chance. He got his ass handed to him in the 2018 midterms and got beat by a dead guy in the 2020 general. He sucks out loud at stumping for anyone other than himself. Now there's even more hanging around his neck.
I am not real high on the direction this nation is headed in. I hope the MAGA crowd doesn't put my family in some kind of re-education camp or some such shit. That said, it's going to be entertaining if nothing else.
Trump is most certainly running and he will be emboldened by MAGA legislators if/when they win this Tuesday. He's not going tp take it easy on DeSantis.
Ideology is a major thing in the MAGA movement, but that's kind of the rub. Trump has no real ideology. His only motivation is self preservation/glorification. He's not in it for the Republican Party or even the MAGA crazies. He will run over Ron DeSantis like a dead dog in the road and his supporters will praise him for it. It will be Ted Cruz 2.0.
It's like Walter White said. DeSantis is New Coke and Trump is Coke Classic. No Maga cultist is picking the imitation over the real thing so long as it's on the shelf.
Party leaders surely will favor Ron, but they will face fierce retribution from the MTG crowd in the House. A pragmatist views DeSantis as a shoe-in 2024 candidate. He's all of the authoritarian nationalism with none of the baggage. He will smoke whatever sacrificial lamb the Dems trot out, and it won't be all that close. He's also much more predictable and guys like McConnell will seem him as a better tool to shape the GOP agenda.
Trump is plenty capable of winning in 24, but IMO is much less of a sure thing. He's the most polarizing political figure in modern US history. he may be indicted soon. He's completely uncontrollable by any surrogate, party elder, lawyer, or donor. He's the only person in America that can feasibly give power back to the Democrats. His candidacy gives them a chance. He got his ass handed to him in the 2018 midterms and got beat by a dead guy in the 2020 general. He sucks out loud at stumping for anyone other than himself. Now there's even more hanging around his neck.
I am not real high on the direction this nation is headed in. I hope the MAGA crowd doesn't put my family in some kind of re-education camp or some such shit. That said, it's going to be entertaining if nothing else.
