Why am I so damn optimistic?

[*ochocincos*]

(09-18-2021, 05:53 PM)rfaulk34 Wrote: 70 targets, in a 16 game season would put him around 15th. If you take that spot for receptions and yards you're looking at...

70 tar, 48 rec, 558 yds, 5 tds

2018, CJ was 64/43/439/3

I think he can surpass that easily with Burrow throwing. Even with the weapons at WR.

As silly as it is to extrapolate from 2 games, projected last year he was on pace for 88/64/696/8. Those are top 5 numbers.

If he keeps the pace he's on after Game 1, he'll be at 595 yards.
However, it's highly unlikely he has a 17.5 YPR.
His career average is 9.8 YPR.
I do think he'll average more than 2 rec per game though.
Last year he averaged 4.0, and in 2018 he averaged 2.68, so let's speculate 3 per game on average.
That'd put him about 500 yards on the season if he averaged 3 rec per game with 9.8 YPR in 17 games.
That seems realistic to me.