02-02-2016, 08:13 PM
(02-02-2016, 07:39 PM)TheLeonardLeap Wrote: Except there is no mean in football. Otherwise the Patriots wouldn't have 13 straight double digit win seasons and the Browns having 8 straight losing seasons. Good teams will be good, bad teams will be bad. If you don't change the situation, nothing will change. No magical "reverting to the mean".
Actually there is clear statistical evidence that teams regress to the mean. You just don't understand the concept.
You mentioned the Browns. Over the last 20 years the Browns have won 4 or fewer games 7 times, and you know what happened the next year EVERY SINGLE TIME? They had a better record. They have only won 6 or more games 6 times and you know what happened the next year in 5 of those six seasons? They had a worse record.
It may seem like magic to you, but it is actually just statistics.
