Something You'll Never See In Cincinnati...EVER!

[*TheLeonardLeap*]

(02-02-2016, 08:13 PM)fredtoast Wrote: Actually there is clear statistical evidence that teams regress to the mean.  You just don't understand the concept.

You mentioned the Browns.  Over the last 20 years the Browns have won 4 or fewer games 7 times, and you know what happened the next year EVERY SINGLE TIME?  They had a better record.  They have only won 6 or more games 6 times and you know what happened the next year in 5 of those six seasons?  They had a worse record.

It may seem like magic to you, but it is actually just statistics.

First off, nice job abandoning your initial point of "In fact most times teams do worse after a coaching change. " when it went up in a blaze and turning it into an argument of statistics and means. Classic Fred tactic.

Except that would mean you think all teams will eventually revert to 5 win teams if under 4 means a better season and under 6 means a worse season. If you want it to be widely applied as an accepted thing, it needs to be able to be applied to all teams, not just the Browns who are the Browns.

The Patriots have won 12 games in four straight seasons.
The Buccaneers won 4 games in 2013, and then 2 in 2014.
The Vikings won 7 games in 2014 and then 9 in 2015.
The Panthers won 7 games in 2014, and then 15 in 2015.
And countless other examples that would blow your "evidence" out of the water.

All you did was look at the Browns, find a pattern, and then pretend it applies to every single team in the NFL, like some kind of mathematical law.

Must just be you're so much smarter and I just don't understand the concept.