(09-22-2022, 01:40 PM)fredtoast Wrote: There were a total of 29 RBs taken in the second day of the draft from '17-'21. How many of them can you name?
The fact is that there were more busts than stars. Only 13 of the 29 have averaged more than 50 rushing yards per game.
I was referring primarily to 2nd round picks. There are a few guys in the early 3rd round range that I included, but I did not want to include the end of the third round because, you're right, that's when it starts to drop off.
From 2017 to 2021, 13 running backs have been drafted in the 2nd round. They are:
Javonte Williams (generally considered a good player)
D'Andre Swift (generally considered a good player)
Johnathan Taylor (generally considered an elite player)
Cam Akers (Trending towards a bust at this point)
JK Dobbins (When healthy is considered a good player)
AJ Dillon (generally considered a good player)
Miles Sanders (generally considered a good player)
Nick Chubb (generally considered an elite player)
Ronald Jones (definite bust)
Kerryon Johnson (definite bust)
Derrius Guice (definite bust)
Dalvin Cook (Generally considered a good player)
Joe Mixon (Generally considered a good player)
So, of 13 players, that's 7 solid starters, 2 elite starters, 1 trending towards being a bust and 3 busts.
Based on these numbers, I think my statement that there have only been a hand full of busts when you take a RB in the 2nd round in recent years (granted, I discussed 3rd rounders, but my original post was explicitly in favor of drafting a 2nd round RB every 3 to 4 years) was appropriate.
There still weren't that many busts in the 3rd round, but it's more likely you'll get a change of pace back / role player like Zach Moss, Devin Singletary, David Montgomery, Damien Harris, D'Onte Foreman or James Connor rather than a "feature back" like Kareem Hunt or Alvin Kamara.
Sorry for the delay in response. I needed time to look through all the drafts and the players and I just haven't had time recently until today.