I saw this breakdown when watching the Mariners feed of the Lodolo game. These stats are from before his last start

28.6% Four seam fastball
25.9% Sinker/two seam fastball
23.5% Changeup
22% Curveball

It's hard to be predictable with that type of split.

Lodolo struggling in 2nd inning

Here's another score a ton one game and then not score the next 3 scenerio.

I know he was at 99 pitches, and it's probably the right move statistically to bring in a guy to get the last out (it worked).... but something in me just hates the fact that pitchers don't really get the opportunity to get themselves out of jams anymore. It really felt like that was always the defining characteristic of an elite clutch pitcher, but now nobody gets any chance to learn and grow/train that trait.

Same with going deeper into games. The less you give pitchers opportunities to do so, they less they're going to be able to do so. If all they're asked to do is go 5 innings, all they're going to be able to do is go 5 innings. Needs to start in the minors.

Hays and Lux big part of our offense, again. Marte had two hits perhaps he is coming around?

But come on, 14 K's in 6 innings pitched Reminds me of old Buggs Bunny cartoon - strike 1 ,2, 3 you're out strike 1, 2, 3 you're out ! I watched EDLC strike out on I'm pretty sure 4 pitches and never took the bat off his shoulder. And that infuriates me

Not blaming Friedl for the throw to the plate . . . looking side-eyed at a slow Candelario for being too far away.

As an outfielder, you're taught to throw the ball to the same spot and the infielder/cutoff man is to decide if it goes through or not. Friedl threw it slightly to the catcher's right, but bounced it at just about the perfect distance to give the catcher time to read the bounce. I gave Herd of Bees major props for a throw just like that last year.

Candelario went from the edge of the outfield grass to behind the pitchers mound . . . he should have been sprinting to the pitchers mound or near it. If he's in the proper position, this gives the runner less time to make the decision on whether to advance or not.

Positives - Reds aren't that far out of the division lead, pitchers overall are doing well.

Negatives - Hitting killed team first couple weeks of the year, and now it's hot and cold.

At least right now, this feels like another season where the Reds hover around .500 all year and miss the postseason again by a few games.

(04-22-2025, 11:39 AM)bengalfan74 Wrote: Hays and Lux big part of our offense, again. Marte had two hits perhaps he is coming around?

But come on, 14 K's in 6 innings pitched   Reminds me of old Buggs Bunny cartoon - strike 1 ,2, 3 you're out strike 1, 2, 3 you're out ! I watched EDLC strike out on I'm pretty sure 4 pitches and never took the bat off his shoulder. And that infuriates me

Against all odds, Marte has been a very bright spot so far this season.

Now that I've said that, I'm sure he'll tank and be demoted within a month 

(04-23-2025, 09:14 AM)ochocincos Wrote: Positives - Reds aren't that far out of the division lead, pitchers overall are doing well.

Negatives - Hitting killed team first couple weeks of the year, and now it's hot and cold.

At least right now, this feels like another season where the Reds hover around .500 all year and miss the postseason again by a few games.

That's the same vibe I'm getting. Perhaps a couple games over .500 and out of post-season. Like you say seems like pitching may be good. But offense just to inconsistent.

Still holding out hope though. Perhaps Marte is for real this time around? Lux and Hays seem to be adding promise. Maybe Steer can get it going? Hopefully Elly will stop striking out twice a game, so on, so on.

I'm still intrigued. 

Ok, so lets start a four game winning streak. Singer today and then 3 vs. Rockies the worst team in baseball.

(04-23-2025, 10:00 AM)bengalfan74 Wrote: That's the same vibe I'm getting. Perhaps a couple games over .500 and out of post-season. Like you say seems like pitching may be good. But offense just to inconsistent.

Still holding out hope though. Perhaps Marte is for real this time around? Lux and Hays seem to be adding promise. Maybe Steer can get it going? Hopefully Elly will stop striking out twice a game, so on, so on.

I'm still intrigued. 

I will say that with the additions of Lux, Hays, Trevino, and Wynns, plus the utility of Espinal and the hopeful soon return of Stephenson, Reds shouldn't HAVE to put Candelario, Steer, and CES out there much.
All these 3 dudes have a sub-500 OPS and sub-30 OPS+.

It would be fantastic if Marte really started coming into his own at 3B and then Stephenson could take 1B, leaving Hays/Lux for DH while the other covers one of the OF spots with Friedl and Fraley.

Needed that W

(04-23-2025, 02:38 PM)ochocincos Wrote: I will say that with the additions of Lux, Hays, Trevino, and Wynns, plus the utility of Espinal and the hopeful soon return of Stephenson, Reds shouldn't HAVE to put Candelario, Steer, and CES out there much.
All these 3 dudes have a sub-500 OPS and sub-30 OPS+.

It would be fantastic if Marte really started coming into his own at 3B and then Stephenson could take 1B, leaving Hays/Lux for DH while the other covers one of the OF spots with Friedl and Fraley.

Yes Candelario put up a nothing burger again today, now at .118 They can't keep him in the regular lineup much longer. Steer I just can't pull the plug on yet. You gotta remember for the bulk of 2023 he was arguably our best hitter for most of the season! And 2024 wasn't awful cept for average. Just pitchers not knowing him well and rookie luck? 

CES I'm slowly losing faith in, can he turn it around? I dunno

But like you say the good news: ELLY 17 runs 5 HR's 22 RBI's but damn the 35 strike outs. He's at or very near the top of MLB. Friedl being a very good table setter. I heard them say today he had reached base safely 16 times in last couple series and we only score 1 run from it. 

Lux batting .316 with 12 RNI's kinda had some clutch hits for us. .837 OPS. Hays batting .361, Marte .310 (can he keep it up?) bone head got thrown out rounding 3rd on ground ball in infield. Wynns on fire !! batting .500 with 11 RBI's including 2 today.

There's stuff to be optimistic about, come on Mc Clain get back in the saddle.

(04-23-2025, 05:29 PM)bengalfan74 Wrote: Yes Candelario put up a nothing burger again today, now at .118 They can't keep him in the regular lineup much longer. Steer I just can't pull the plug on yet. You gotta remember for the bulk of 2023 he was arguably our best hitter for most of the season! And 2024 wasn't awful cept for average. Just pitchers not knowing him well and rookie luck? 

CES I'm slowly losing faith in, can he turn it around? I dunno

But like you say the good news: ELLY 17 runs 5 HR's 22 RBI's but damn the 35 strike outs. He's at or very near the top of MLB. Friedl being a very good table setter. I heard them say today he had reached base safely 16 times in last couple series and we only score 1 run from it. 

Lux batting .316 with 12 RNI's kinda had some clutch hits for us. .837 OPS. Hays batting .361, Marte .310 (can he keep it up?) bone head got thrown out rounding 3rd on ground ball in infield. Wynns on fire !! batting .500 with 11 RBI's including 2 today.

There's stuff to be optimistic about, come on Mc Clain get back in the saddle.

I originally had confidence in Steer because of 2023, but now I'm starting to think 2023 is more the fluke. Aside from 2023, he's never had above a .225 BA.
With 2022 only playing 28 games, 2023 was pretty much his rookie year in the bigs.
It's possible with that additional tape, teams figured out how to better attack him last year and this year, and he hasn't been able to adjust.

CES along the same lines as Steer - solid in 2023 his debut season in the bigs, but since then he's been sub-.200.

I know injuries play a part, but you can't keep running someone out there just to knock the rust off or get back from injury like that.

How about Singer being 4-0 and April isn't even over yet?
He should easily be a 10-win pitcher this year if not 15-20.

How many people had Austin Wynns on their bingo card hitting .500 at this point in the season? I'm hoping he doesn't flame out by May, but I'm not betting my life savings on him hitting .500 the rest of the season.. Still gotta love a player who bounced around the minor league, accidentally makes it to the show and makes the best of it while they can. 

(04-23-2025, 07:10 PM)ochocincos Wrote: How about Singer being 4-0 and April isn't even over yet?
He should easily be a 10-win pitcher this year if not 15-20.

What a phenomenal trade so far. 

We get 5 GS, 27.1 IP, 9 BB, 32 K, 1.134 WHIP, 119 ERA+ pitcher.

In exchange, we gave up two players.

India is batting 0.195/0.298/0.244 in 22 games, 94 PA, with 4 doubles, 0 3B, 0 HR, 4 RBI, 0 SB, 11 BB, 13 K, and an OPS+ of 60.

Weimer is batting 0.164/0.276/0.288 in 20 games in AAA, 87 PA, with 3 doubles, 0 3B, 2 HR,11 RBI, 5 SB, 10 BB, 22 K.

It's still early, but that is great value!

(Yesterday, 08:58 AM)grampahol Wrote: How many people had Austin Wynns on their bingo card hitting .500 at this point in the season? I'm hoping he doesn't flame out by May, but I'm not betting my life savings on him hitting .500 the rest of the season.. Still gotta love a player who bounced around the minor league, accidentally makes it to the show and makes the best of it while they can. 

Yup. Not just Wynns either, but Trevino too. 

Reds catchers (age 32 and 34) are hitting a combined .372/.417/.615 (1.032 OPS) this year which is best, best, 2nd best, and best in all of baseball.

(Yesterday, 10:45 AM)TheLeonardLeap Wrote: Yup. Not just Wynns either, but Trevino too. 

Reds catchers (age 32 and 34) are hitting a combined .372/.417/.615 (1.032 OPS) this year which is best, best, 2nd best, and best in all of baseball.

And Stephenson just started his rehab assignment at LOU this week, so he should hopefully return soon.
Finally a good catching stable.

(Yesterday, 11:38 AM)ochocincos Wrote: And Stephenson just started his rehab assignment at LOU this week, so he should hopefully return soon.
Finally a good catching stable.

Won't be shocked if Stephenson practices some 1B on his rehab assignment.

Take the greatness of our catchers hitting thus far this year and basically flip it for what we've gotten from 1B...
28th AVG, 28th OBP, 26th SLG, 26th OPS