Every year only about two-thirds of all first round picks are starters as rookies, but I think a lot of that has to do with the quality of the team. I'd guess that bad teams are forced to start rookies more than good teams who can draft for the future and let guy sit as a rookie.

(06-05-2020, 01:41 PM)fredtoast Wrote: Every year only about two-thirds of all first round picks are starters as rookies, but I think a lot of that has to do with the quality of the team.  I'd guess that bad teams are forced to start rookies more than good teams who can draft for the future and let  guy sit as a rookie.

That's a factor as well. Remember back 2013 or whatever everybody was talking we can just draft BPA in every round because we have no pressing needs.

(06-05-2020, 11:13 AM)TJHoushmandzadeh Wrote: Rd 1 - yr 1 starter. Probably get spotty production flashing both highlight reel plays but also plenty of mistakes; generally improving as the year progresses
Rd 2 - starter by yr 2
Rd 3 - role player for yr 1, expanded role by yr 2 and for a top half of rd 3 a starter by yr 3
Rd 4 - career role player from yr 1 OR inactive yr 1 but developing into potential starter by yr 3
Rd 5 - back-up player yr 1, developing into a role player by years 2 and 3
Rd 6 - career back-up/special teams player
Rd 7 - special teams if WR/RB/TE/LB/S otherwise PS



I expect to see Tee Higgins have more snaps as a rookie on Offense than Logan Wilson though

Ahhh, I see where I messed up in my post now, I agree lol

First 3 Rds I expect a starting role or major contributor in year one unless they are playing at a loaded position or a project at QB.
4&5th- special teams and rotation guys
6&7th- project and development guys with special teams ability.