(01-13-2017, 03:17 PM)Rhinocero23 Wrote: Not sure you are correct anywhere but in your mind. 

Using your link 
Andy was 11/34 in first down conversion passing on 3rd 7-9 - 32% 
(6 of his 17 completions were less than what was needed. Inflating his completion % to an impressive 50% total fluff)
on 3rd & 10 or more he was 10/52 for first downs. - 19.23%
(20 of his 30 completions were less than what was needed. Inflating his completion % to a WHOPPING 57% total fluff)

http://www.footballoutsiders.com/alex/2017/alex-season-review

This shows specifically how a QB does in 3rd down situations when passing.
Overall Andy is ranked 20th out of 34 qualifying QB's
On 3rd and short Andy is rated 18th of 34.
On 3rd and mid Andy does his best work and is rated 9th (well done) of 34.
On 3rd and long Andy is rated 29th of 34


What is it you are trying to say...because I said he is not a risk taker and does not do well pushing the ball down the field to the sticks on third and long. These are the facts to prove it.

(01-13-2017, 11:02 PM)Shake n Blake Wrote: After digging deeply into this, I have to concede that Dalton is throwing short of first down a lot this year. I picked some random QBs for comparison and here's how they stacked up on 3rd and 7+ yards to go:

1. Rivers: 37.8% conversion rate
2. Luck: 36.5%
3. Ben: 35.9%
4. Brady: 33.3%
5. Wilson: 30.9%
6. Cam: 30.6%
7. Carr: 29.5%
8. Dak: 28.4%
9. Palmer: 28.4%
10. A.Smith: 26.8%
11. Flacco: 25.0%
12. Dalton: 24.4%
13. Bradford: 23.5%
14. Eli: 22.2%

I didn't feel like looking up everyone, but this gives a general feel. Dalton is probably among the worst this season. That got me interested in how Dalton fared in previous seasons though, and here's each year:

2011: 25.9%
2012: 32.5%
2013: 37.8%
2014: 27.7%
2015: 37.0%
 
So most of his seasons compare favorably with even the best QBs I listed above. His best 2 seasons would've ranked 1st and 2nd on the list. So again...this is yet more proof that Dalton does not possess a noodle arm and over the course of his career, he's been far from conservative.

So what was the deal this year? I'm honestly not sure. None of us are. I'd probably argue that the abysmal o-line hurt. 3rd and long + bad pass blocking isn't a good combo. 

(01-13-2017, 11:08 PM)Rhinocero23 Wrote: Fair response...I would agree that poor o-line play would be a huge factor in this and would allow for someone to unfairly put all the blame on the QB.

(01-13-2017, 10:44 PM)Nately120 Wrote: I'd say:

Palmer = Dalton

Both guys were flat-out awesome last year and were completely run into the ground by lousy o-lines and offensive schemes. Hell, even the almighty Russellll Wilson was betrayed by his line and still got praise despite putting up 5 offensive showings of 12 points or less. 

(01-13-2017, 01:24 PM)Rhinocero23 Wrote: He was not the #1 receiver in Detroit...but do not let facts get in the way of your narrative. lol.

(01-13-2017, 09:56 PM)bfine32 Wrote: So you're saying Andy had better weapons that Matt Stafford?

(01-06-2017, 06:11 PM)bfine32 Wrote: Andy had his second best year as a pro and finished middle of the pack in passer rating. Let's hope he improves and not make more or less of it than what it was.