Posts: 1,833
Threads: 130
Reputation:
13139
Joined: Mar 2017
To me, Hitting on a round 1 pick is what matters. (more than what specific position it is)
If they take an OT and miss, then they will be chasing after a Tackle next offseason AND they missed the chance to hit at another position.
*If say they HIT on a WR in round one, then they don't have to spend Money on that spot next offseason. (or re-Draft that 1 Roster spot)
That in turn frees up Money for a Free Agent OT or whatever next offseason.
Same with Hitting on a DT or Corner or Interior O-line etc in round 1.
Hitting fills a spot and Frees up Money that can be used in the next Offseason by not having to fill that spot.
This is why I am more open to Drafting other positions in round 1 besides OT.
I don't mind if they take OT in round 1 but they just Flat out need to get it right.
Just hit Baby !
1
Posts: 10,758
Threads: 1,327
Reputation:
39577
Joined: May 2015
Location: Robbing Grandmas Of The Covid Vaccine In Northern Kentucky-Greater Cincinnati
(04-03-2024, 12:31 PM)depthchart Wrote: To me, Hitting on a round 1 pick is what matters most. (more than what specific position it is)
If they take an OT and miss, then they will be chasing after a Tackle next offseason AND they missed the chance to hit at another position.
*If say they HIT on a WR in round one, then they don't have to spend Money on that spot next offseason. (or re-Draft that 1 Roster spot)
That in turn frees up Money for a Free Agent OT or whatever next offseason.
Same with Hitting on a DT or Corner or Interior O-line etc in round 1.
Hitting fills a spot and Frees up Money that can be used in the next Offseason by not having to fill that spot.
This is why I am more open to Drafting other positions in round 1 besides OT.
I don't mind if they take OT in round 1 but they just Flat out need to get it right.
Just hit Baby !
I disagree.
Hitting on the first round pick is big and can help out a franchise a great deal, especially if you hit, but the mid and late rounds are where the draft is won, IMCO.
The value to fill the roster with quality players to put around your stars is more important than the first round pick.
That's why our lack of scouts in the past has been a problem because we were unable to find the smaller school guys or guys that didn't make all the highlight films on TV.
The first round pick is big because, like this year, it can help us build/finish building the line to protect our franchise (Burrow) or give him an important weapon (Bowers, Thomas Jr, etc), and can help put us over the edge, but the rounds after the first are where you find your quality players to build your roster, and that's the most important.
I'm definitely hoping we hit on our first round pick, but look at the history of our first round picks and we tend to miss more than we hit on names that make a huge difference to our team, especially in the first year: Price, Ross, Bill Jackson, Dennard, Eifert, Cedric Ogbuehi (definitely didn't live up to anywhere near his potential, especially in year one).
Like I said, I'm definitely hoping we hit on our first pick and he can be someone to be big for the franchise for a long time, but, like I said, the first pick is far from the most important pick.
Posts: 1,833
Threads: 130
Reputation:
13139
Joined: Mar 2017
(04-03-2024, 02:04 PM)BFritz21 Wrote: I disagree.
Hitting on the first round pick is big and can help out a franchise a great deal, especially if you hit, but the mid and late rounds are where the draft is won, IMCO.
The value to fill the roster with quality players to put around your stars is more important than the first round pick.
That's why our lack of scouts in the past has been a problem because we were unable to find the smaller school guys or guys that didn't make all the highlight films on TV.
The first round pick is big because, like this year, it can help us build/finish building the line to protect our franchise (Burrow) or give him an important weapon (Bowers, Thomas Jr, etc), and can help put us over the edge, but the rounds after the first are where you find your quality players to build your roster, and that's the most important.
I'm definitely hoping we hit on our first round pick, but look at the history of our first round picks and we tend to miss more than we hit on names that make a huge difference to our team, especially in the first year: Price, Ross, Bill Jackson, Dennard, Eifert, Cedric Ogbuehi (definitely didn't live up to anywhere near his potential, especially in year one).
Like I said, I'm definitely hoping we hit on our first pick and he can be someone to be big for the franchise for a long time, but, like I said, the first pick is far from the most important pick.
I agree with what you are saying.
I would say that this Thread is more geared to the belief by many that the Bengals need to get an Offensive Tackle in round one.
Hitting on any pick helps and missing on any pick hurts or is an opportunity lost.
I am open to many different positions in round 1. (OT - IOL - WR - TE - Corner - DT etc & in no particular order just as long as it is a HIT)
Probably would not help much to hit on a QB though - LOL but you never know.
Posts: 7,135
Threads: 50
Reputation:
49019
Joined: May 2015
(04-03-2024, 12:31 PM)depthchart Wrote: To me, Hitting on a round 1 pick is what matters. (more than what specific position it is)
If they take an OT and miss, then they will be chasing after a Tackle next offseason AND they missed the chance to hit at another position.
*If say they HIT on a WR in round one, then they don't have to spend Money on that spot next offseason. (or re-Draft that 1 Roster spot)
That in turn frees up Money for a Free Agent OT or whatever next offseason.
Same with Hitting on a DT or Corner or Interior O-line etc in round 1.
Hitting fills a spot and Frees up Money that can be used in the next Offseason by not having to fill that spot.
This is why I am more open to Drafting other positions in round 1 besides OT.
I don't mind if they take OT in round 1 but they just Flat out need to get it right.
Just hit Baby !
This is where I like to look at the strength of the draft class for certain positions compared to needs. Using the Consensus Big Board for average ranking, these are the players with 1st round grades current that there's a fairly reasonable chance will be there at 18,arranged by need.
WR(Need immediate starter)
18.Brian Thomas Jr.
29.Adonai Mitchell
OT(Need starter for next year)
14.Taliese Fuaga
15.Oli Fashanu
19.JC Latham
20.Troy Fautanu
22.Amarius Mims
30.Tyler Guyton
C(Need starter for next year)
24.Jackson Powers-Johnson
27.Graham Barton
Edge(Need starter in 2 years)
13.Jared Verse
16.Laiatu Latu
28.Chop Robinson
3-tech(Need Starter in two years)
17.Byron Murphy
26.Jer'Zahn Newton
CB(need starter in 2 years)
11.Quinyon Mitchell
12.Terrion Arnold
21.Cooper DeJean
23.Nate Wiggins
25.Kool-Aid McKinstry
I bring this up because usually when you have a number of reasonable options at a position, you can pinpoint a guy that has the traits that fit your scheme, instead of being stuck in a position where "I need this, but this guy doesn't really do X or Y, but I want/need a guy at this position."
Posts: 1,833
Threads: 130
Reputation:
13139
Joined: Mar 2017
(04-04-2024, 11:48 AM)Whatever Wrote: This is where I like to look at the strength of the draft class for certain positions compared to needs. Using the Consensus Big Board for average ranking, these are the players with 1st round grades current that there's a fairly reasonable chance will be there at 18,arranged by need.
WR(Need immediate starter)
18.Brian Thomas Jr.
29.Adonai Mitchell
OT(Need starter for next year)
14.Taliese Fuaga
15.Oli Fashanu
19.JC Latham
20.Troy Fautanu
22.Amarius Mims
30.Tyler Guyton
C(Need starter for next year)
24.Jackson Powers-Johnson
27.Graham Barton
Edge(Need starter in 2 years)
13.Jared Verse
16.Laiatu Latu
28.Chop Robinson
3-tech(Need Starter in two years)
17.Byron Murphy
26.Jer'Zahn Newton
CB(need starter in 2 years)
11.Quinyon Mitchell
12.Terrion Arnold
21.Cooper DeJean
23.Nate Wiggins
25.Kool-Aid McKinstry
I bring this up because usually when you have a number of reasonable options at a position, you can pinpoint a guy that has the traits that fit your scheme, instead of being stuck in a position where "I need this, but this guy doesn't really do X or Y, but I want/need a guy at this position."
It seems like Zac & the Bengals really want that Personality Fit as well with their picks.
Guys that Fit into the Team Chemistry.
As a Fan, I tend to think of who could have a Big (more immediate if not instant) impact on improving the Team or a Unit on the Team.
Which player might have a chance to be an ALL Pro or Great player in Round 1.
Finances and the Pipeline of Players coming in to eventually replace current Starters down the road is likely playing a large role
in how the Bengals Draft plus the Scheme Fit as you suggest.
Will TEE's financial factors drive a decision to Draft say Brian Thomas Jr ? (assuming he is a Scheme & Personality fit)
Could they see Great traits in a Corner or DE that sway them in that direction ?
Would a "so so" RT option in this Draft in Round 1 really be better than say a Top Center or IOL option ?
A way that seems right could end up wrong and vice versa (making it Fun to discuss)
Posts: 7,135
Threads: 50
Reputation:
49019
Joined: May 2015
(04-04-2024, 12:12 PM)depthchart Wrote: It seems like Zac & the Bengals really want that Personality Fit as well with their picks.
Guys that Fit into the Team Chemistry.
As a Fan, I tend to think of who could have a Big (more immediate if not instant) impact on improving the Team or a Unit on the Team.
Which player might have a chance to be an ALL Pro or Great player in Round 1.
Finances and the Pipeline of Players coming in to eventually replace current Starters down the road is likely playing a large role
in how the Bengals Draft plus the Scheme Fit as you suggest.
Will TEE's financial factors drive a decision to Draft say Brian Thomas Jr ? (assuming he is a Scheme & Personality fit)
Could they see Great traits in a Corner or DE that sway them in that direction ?
Would a "so so" RT option in this Draft in Round 1 really be better than say a Top Center or IOL option ?
A way that seems right could end up wrong and vice versa (making it Fun to discuss)
Thomas is tempting if there. He fills an immediate starter need, likely moves into the WR2 role when Higgins leaves next year, and should give you 5 years as a relatively cheap starter while Chase is making big bucks. But if he doesn't really fit, do you go with Mitchell, who's a very different type of receiver? Personally, I wouldn't.
The top of this T class is extremely exciting. Last year, Broderick Jones started the "new wave" of OT's. His technique is horrible, but he dominated in college and played reasonably well as a rookie because he's just so freakishly athletic. He had 9.39 RAS. Joe Alt has a 9.92. Fashanu is 9.49. Fuaga is 9.71. Mims is 9.53. Fautanu is 9.45. Guyton is 9.62. And for further reference, Penei Sewell, the guy everyone was drooling over a few years back and has developed into an All Pro T...8.98. Aside from Latham, who won't test to save his life, all the first round graded T's this draft have beyond elite upside. In fact, the only thing stopping some of these guys from perennial All Pro status is the other guys in this draft class.
Drafting OL, specifically T's, has been extremely hard for close to a decade simply because Edge rushers' athleticism has grown by leaps and bounds. The margin of error when it comes to technique was so slim. This class really represents the pendulum swinging back the other way. These guys are so big and athletic that even if their technique fails them, they will still get the job done. They don't have to be perfect, or even close.
Posts: 1,833
Threads: 130
Reputation:
13139
Joined: Mar 2017
(04-04-2024, 01:20 PM)Whatever Wrote: Thomas is tempting if there. He fills an immediate starter need, likely moves into the WR2 role when Higgins leaves next year, and should give you 5 years as a relatively cheap starter while Chase is making big bucks. But if he doesn't really fit, do you go with Mitchell, who's a very different type of receiver? Personally, I wouldn't.
The top of this T class is extremely exciting. Last year, Broderick Jones started the "new wave" of OT's. His technique is horrible, but he dominated in college and played reasonably well as a rookie because he's just so freakishly athletic. He had 9.39 RAS. Joe Alt has a 9.92. Fashanu is 9.49. Fuaga is 9.71. Mims is 9.53. Fautanu is 9.45. Guyton is 9.62. And for further reference, Penei Sewell, the guy everyone was drooling over a few years back and has developed into an All Pro T...8.98. Aside from Latham, who won't test to save his life, all the first round graded T's this draft have beyond elite upside. In fact, the only thing stopping some of these guys from perennial All Pro status is the other guys in this draft class.
Drafting OL, specifically T's, has been extremely hard for close to a decade simply because Edge rushers' athleticism has grown by leaps and bounds. The margin of error when it comes to technique was so slim. This class really represents the pendulum swinging back the other way. These guys are so big and athletic that even if their technique fails them, they will still get the job done. They don't have to be perfect, or even close.
The Tackle Class does look exciting and the Bengals could go that direction while also seeing the WR Class as deep enough to focus
on a Tyler Boyd WR #3 replacement in this Draft say later in rounds 2 or 3. I think a player like Xavier Leggette would be a good
Tyler Boyd replacement who would also have a chance to be a 2025 TEE replacement with his 4.39 speed.
There could also be other Tyler Boyd replacement options later.
This could open up a 1st round OT pick.
I think that Alt, Fuaga, Fashanu & Latham could all be drafted before pick #18.
If you also thought that was likely - What would you do ? (take Mims ? maybe Trade down for Guyton ? maybe Trade up for one of those 4 ?
Posts: 18,669
Threads: 463
Reputation:
119072
Joined: May 2015
Location: Nashville, TN
(04-03-2024, 12:31 PM)depthchart Wrote: To me, Hitting on a round 1 pick is what matters. (more than what specific position it is)
If they take an OT and miss, then they will be chasing after a Tackle next offseason AND they missed the chance to hit at another position.
*If say they HIT on a WR in round one, then they don't have to spend Money on that spot next offseason. (or re-Draft that 1 Roster spot)
That in turn frees up Money for a Free Agent OT or whatever next offseason.
Same with Hitting on a DT or Corner or Interior O-line etc in round 1.
Hitting fills a spot and Frees up Money that can be used in the next Offseason by not having to fill that spot.
This is why I am more open to Drafting other positions in round 1 besides OT.
I don't mind if they take OT in round 1 but they just Flat out need to get it right.
Just hit Baby !
This is why I wasn't a huge fan of all the 1-year rental deals that happened in FA.
Having Trent Brown and Mike Gesicki for just this year doesn't solidify those positions.
Same with Higgins on the tag.
The Bengals still need multi-year stability there from quality performers, so a draft need still makes sense.
Those draft picks just don't have to be thrust into starting as rookies because of those 1-year rentals.
It's going to be interesting to see how the Bengals draft this season, as they could easily go a bunch of ways and it would make sense.
The debate will be why this position early vs that one, but there are a lot of spots that will need an upgrade this year or next year.
Zac Taylor 2019-2020: 6 total wins
Zac Taylor 2021-2022: Double-digit wins each season, plus 5 postseason wins
Zac Taylor 2023: 9 wins despite losing Burrow half the season
Zac Taylor 2024: Started 1-4. If he can turn this into a playoff appearance, it will be impressive.
Sorry for Party Rocking!
Posts: 1,833
Threads: 130
Reputation:
13139
Joined: Mar 2017
(04-04-2024, 02:20 PM)ochocincos Wrote: This is why I wasn't a huge fan of all the 1-year rental deals that happened in FA.
Having Trent Brown and Mike Gesicki for just this year doesn't solidify those positions.
Same with Higgins on the tag.
The Bengals still need multi-year stability there from quality performers, so a draft need still makes sense.
Those draft picks just don't have to be thrust into starting as rookies because of those 1-year rentals.
It's going to be interesting to see how the Bengals draft this season, as they could easily go a bunch of ways and it would make sense.
The debate will be why this position early vs that one, but there are a lot of spots that will need an upgrade this year or next year.
There are so many ways to look at it which makes it fascinating.
There will be a whole new batch of 1 year rental guys available next year and I would find some comfort in that.
Although I would like to Lower the number of 1 year rental guys by getting more long term hits in the Draft. (for sure)
The TEE issue HOVERS over everything. IMO
Tight ends seem cheaper & easier to get but maybe Bowers slips to #18.
Very Tempting Offensive Tackle Class is hard to pass up on.
I think hard about BPA and hope it matches up to one of those long term Hole needs but stay flexible if it doesn't.
Posts: 18,669
Threads: 463
Reputation:
119072
Joined: May 2015
Location: Nashville, TN
(04-04-2024, 02:34 PM)depthchart Wrote: There are so many ways to look at it which makes it fascinating.
There will be a whole new batch of 1 year rental guys available next year and I would find some comfort in that.
Although I would like to Lower the number of 1 year rental guys by getting more long term hits in the Draft. (for sure)
The TEE issue HOVERS over everything. IMO
Tight ends seem cheaper & easier to get but maybe Bowers slips to #18.
Very Tempting Offensive Tackle Class is hard to pass up on.
I think hard about BPA and hope it matches up to one of those long term Hole needs but stay flexible if it doesn't.
Out of all the position groups, OT and WR look to be the most stacked.
But different people look at that and think, "We're good to wait on a talent into Day 2/3 with so much talent."
Others might think, "We should get one of the best in a great draft class at this strong position group."
But there's also one other part to play in all of this...How good is the coaching staff to be able to get the most out of these strong vs weak position groups?
For example, do we trust Pollack and Co. with a drafted early-round OT with it being a strong draft class, or should they go with a position they are better at developing like WR?
Zac Taylor 2019-2020: 6 total wins
Zac Taylor 2021-2022: Double-digit wins each season, plus 5 postseason wins
Zac Taylor 2023: 9 wins despite losing Burrow half the season
Zac Taylor 2024: Started 1-4. If he can turn this into a playoff appearance, it will be impressive.
Sorry for Party Rocking!
Posts: 1,833
Threads: 130
Reputation:
13139
Joined: Mar 2017
(04-04-2024, 02:58 PM)ochocincos Wrote: Out of all the position groups, OT and WR look to be the most stacked.
But different people look at that and think, "We're good to wait on a talent into Day 2/3 with so much talent."
Others might think, "We should get one of the best in a great draft class at this strong position group."
But there's also one other part to play in all of this...How good is the coaching staff to be able to get the most out of these strong vs weak position groups?
For example, do we trust Pollack and Co. with a drafted early-round OT with it being a strong draft class, or should they go with a position they are better at developing like WR?
The Bengals had that 6th round Comp pick turned into a 3rd round pick #97.
In my mind, I see that as a Bonus and then see the 4th round pick #115 as maybe Trade bait to go up some in round 1.
Say that 4th round pick can get the Bengals to pick #14. (making sure a Tackle they like is there after pick #13 is called before Trading)
Maybe this gets a Fuaga, Latham or Fashanu.
*Then for me, Xavier Leggette WR in round 2 could be the Boyd replacement in 2024 with a possibility of becoming the TEE replacement in 2025.
**Or others may like different receivers instead of Leggette in the 2nd round or later.
This could be small Trade Up time in my mind.
Posts: 18,669
Threads: 463
Reputation:
119072
Joined: May 2015
Location: Nashville, TN
(04-04-2024, 03:27 PM)depthchart Wrote: The Bengals had that 6th round Comp pick turned into a 3rd round pick #97.
In my mind, I see that as a Bonus and then see the 4th round pick #115 as maybe Trade bait to go up some in round 1.
Say that 4th round pick can get the Bengals to pick #14. (making sure a Tackle they like is there after pick #13 is called before Trading)
Maybe this gets a Fuaga, Latham or Fashanu.
*Then for me, Xavier Leggette WR in round 2 could be the Boyd replacement in 2024 with a possibility of becoming the TEE replacement in 2025.
**Or others may like different receivers instead of Leggette in the 2nd round or later.
This could be small Trade Up time in my mind.
FWIW, the trade value chart puts Pick 115 at 64 points only.
Combining that with the 18th overall pick would only equate to about the 17th overall pick.
Those Day 3 picks are basically worthless if trying to trade up in the 1st round.
You would need to trade the 49th or 80th overall pick to jump up even a few spots.
18th overall - 900 pts
49th overall - 410 pts
80th overall - 190 pts
97th overall - 112 pts
18+49 = 1310 pts, which would be right around 10th overall pick (1300 pts)
18+80 = 1090 pts, which would be right around 14th overall (1100 pts)
18+97 = 1012 pts, which would be right around 16th overall (1000 pts)
Zac Taylor 2019-2020: 6 total wins
Zac Taylor 2021-2022: Double-digit wins each season, plus 5 postseason wins
Zac Taylor 2023: 9 wins despite losing Burrow half the season
Zac Taylor 2024: Started 1-4. If he can turn this into a playoff appearance, it will be impressive.
Sorry for Party Rocking!
Posts: 1,833
Threads: 130
Reputation:
13139
Joined: Mar 2017
(04-04-2024, 03:38 PM)ochocincos Wrote: FWIW, the trade value chart puts Pick 115 at 64 points only.
Combining that with the 18th overall pick would only equate to about the 17th overall pick.
Those Day 3 picks are basically worthless if trying to trade up in the 1st round.
You would need to trade the 49th or 80th overall pick to jump up even a few spots.
18th overall - 900 pts
49th overall - 410 pts
80th overall - 190 pts
18+49 = 1310 pts, which would be right around 10th overall pick (1300 pts)
18+80 = 1090 pts, which would be right around 14th overall (1100 pts)
In 2023 the Steelers & Patriots made this Trade. The Steelers went up for Broderick Jones OT
. New England traded a first-round selection (14th) to Pittsburgh in exchange for first- and fourth-round selections (17th and 120th overall)
Compare to Bengals give #18 & #115 to go up to #14.
I think they could get up more than one spot.
Posts: 18,669
Threads: 463
Reputation:
119072
Joined: May 2015
Location: Nashville, TN
(04-04-2024, 03:43 PM)depthchart Wrote: In 2023 the Steelers & Patriots made this Trade. The Steelers went up for Broderick Jones OT
. New England traded a first-round selection (14th) to Pittsburgh in exchange for first- and fourth-round selections (17th and 120th overall)
Compare to Bengals give #18 & #115 to go up to #14.
I think they could get up more than one spot.
17th and 120th overall = 1004 pts on the chart.
That's better than 964 that you are proposing.
In your scenario, the Pats were only going back 3 spaces, not 4.
What you are proposing is the Saints in this case moving back 4 spaces just to get a 4th round pick as well.
The trade value chart isn't perfect, but moving from 14 to 18 and only getting 115 feels not worth it to me if I'm the Saints.
From what I had heard, the Jets may be interested in picking up some extra picks since they gave up some for Rodgers.
If they aren't liking who is there at 10th overall for them, they might be interested in trading back. I imagine it'd need to include 49th or 80+97 though if moving all the way back to 18th.
Zac Taylor 2019-2020: 6 total wins
Zac Taylor 2021-2022: Double-digit wins each season, plus 5 postseason wins
Zac Taylor 2023: 9 wins despite losing Burrow half the season
Zac Taylor 2024: Started 1-4. If he can turn this into a playoff appearance, it will be impressive.
Sorry for Party Rocking!
Posts: 1,833
Threads: 130
Reputation:
13139
Joined: Mar 2017
(04-04-2024, 03:53 PM)ochocincos Wrote: 17th and 120th overall = 1004 pts on the chart.
That's better than 964 that you are proposing.
In your scenario, the Pats were only going back 3 spaces, not 4.
What you are proposing is the Saints in this case moving back 4 spaces just to get a 4th round pick as well.
The trade value chart isn't perfect, but moving from 14 to 18 and only getting 115 feels not worth it to me if I'm the Saints.
From what I had heard, the Jets may be interested in picking up some extra picks since they gave up some for Rodgers.
If they aren't liking who is there at 10th overall for them, they might be interested in trading back. I imagine it'd need to include 49th or 80+97 though if moving all the way back to 18th.
I think it comes down to Who the Team trading down is Targeting.
Just like you had mentioned about a possible trade Down for Tyler Guyton on another Thread. (I think it was Guyton)
If a Team can Trade down 3 or 4 spots, still get the Targeted player plus a 4th round pick then they probably won't
concern themselves with the Chart as much.
Let's say up 3 to 4 spots (maybe) using that 4th round pick which could get the Bengals one of the better OTs.
Posts: 7,135
Threads: 50
Reputation:
49019
Joined: May 2015
(04-04-2024, 01:52 PM)depthchart Wrote: The Tackle Class does look exciting and the Bengals could go that direction while also seeing the WR Class as deep enough to focus
on a Tyler Boyd WR #3 replacement in this Draft say later in rounds 2 or 3. I think a player like Xavier Leggette would be a good
Tyler Boyd replacement who would also have a chance to be a 2025 TEE replacement with his 4.39 speed.
There could also be other Tyler Boyd replacement options later.
This could open up a 1st round OT pick.
I think that Alt, Fuaga, Fashanu & Latham could all be drafted before pick #18.
If you also thought that was likely - What would you do ? (take Mims ? maybe Trade down for Guyton ? maybe Trade up for one of those 4 ?
IMO, there's a lot more depth in the 2nd for WR than T. I don't think you'll get a Higgins replacement in the 2nd, but there are a lot of guys who project well into the slot WR role, like McConkey, Pearsall, Polk, Wilson, and Corley. The only guy I like that fits the mold as a Tee replacement outside of the Top 4(Harrison, Nabers, Odunze, Thomas) is Johnny Wilson in the 3rd-4th.
This is a crazy top heavy draft class and it really plummets off after the Top 100 prospects. That's a reason why getting that 3rd round comp pick was so big.
Personally, I would no issue drafting Guyton at 18. The early T class is so good that most of them would be Top 10 picks in another class. Suamataia would also probably be worth 18 in a normal class. Wouldn't go Morgan or Paul that high, though.
Posts: 1,481
Threads: 62
Reputation:
4841
Joined: May 2015
If Rd 1 matters, would you support trading our Rd 3 comp to move up a few spaces? Every time I do a mock it seems like Mims or Latham are our tackle choices. That might be fine but if not then moving up would make sense.
Then again, Marvin Lewis used to say you build your team in rounds 2-5. I think he was mostly right about that.
Posts: 10,758
Threads: 1,327
Reputation:
39577
Joined: May 2015
Location: Robbing Grandmas Of The Covid Vaccine In Northern Kentucky-Greater Cincinnati
(04-06-2024, 02:07 PM)BoomerFan Wrote: If Rd 1 matters, would you support trading our Rd 3 comp to move up a few spaces? Every time I do a mock it seems like Mims or Latham are our tackle choices. That might be fine but if not then moving up would make sense.
Then again, Marvin Lewis used to say you build your team in rounds 2-5. I think he was mostly right about that.
That's what I was saying above.
The first round pick is important because you're investing a lot of money and you can get a talented player (superstar sometimes), but it's the players in the rounds after the first and later rounds that fill our your roster with quality role players that build winning teams.
There are some exceptions, mostly when a team needs a quarterback, but, for the most part, hitting on the picks after the first round gives you the most value and best bang for your buck.
Posts: 36,251
Threads: 49
Reputation:
234416
Joined: May 2015
Location: Star Valley, Wyoming
(04-03-2024, 12:31 PM)depthchart Wrote: To me, Hitting on a round 1 pick is what matters. (more than what specific position it is)
If they take an OT and miss, then they will be chasing after a Tackle next offseason AND they missed the chance to hit at another position.
*If say they HIT on a WR in round one, then they don't have to spend Money on that spot next offseason. (or re-Draft that 1 Roster spot)
That in turn frees up Money for a Free Agent OT or whatever next offseason.
Same with Hitting on a DT or Corner or Interior O-line etc in round 1.
Hitting fills a spot and Frees up Money that can be used in the next Offseason by not having to fill that spot.
This is why I am more open to Drafting other positions in round 1 besides OT.
I don't mind if they take OT in round 1 but they just Flat out need to get it right.
Just hit Baby !
Sure would be a great start. But we might not know if we hit on an OL pick, if Trent Brown stays somewhat healthy.
I think if we Draft Bowers, Murphy, Newton or Mitchell we would see a lot of them no matter who is in front of them to begin with.
Bowers would probably instantly be TE1 and Mitchell could be CB2 instantly.
Posts: 1,833
Threads: 130
Reputation:
13139
Joined: Mar 2017
(04-06-2024, 09:00 PM)Nate (formerly eliminate08) Wrote: Sure would be a great start. But we might not know if we hit on an OL pick, if Trent Brown stays somewhat healthy.
I think if we Draft Bowers, Murphy, Newton or Mitchell we would see a lot of them no matter who is in front of them to begin with.
Bowers would probably instantly be TE1 and Mitchell could be CB2 instantly.
This is part of what concerns me with an OT pick in round 1.
At some point the Team will Start him and may keep starting him to try to make the pick work.
(like other 1st round O-lineman that never really panned out)
Personally, I would hope that JC Latham gets close enough for a 3 to 5 pick Trade up and go get him.
(Others like Fuaga more who may also require a Trade up)
Staying put at pick #18 for an OT likely means riskier options (although many smart Posters like some of those options & could be right)
I think that JC Latham would Lock the RT position down for a Decade.
Latham may go too early for a 4 to 5 pick Trade up to be able to happen (Fuaga could also)
*Once the better OT's go off the Board the other positions start looking better but Bowers & Mitchell could also be taken before pick #18.
Byron Murphy II would be nice to have but Brian Thomas JR sure helps with the TEE situation.
|