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I Saw Bengals Telegraphing Offense Plays To Jets Defense
#13
(11-02-2021, 04:42 PM)kevin Wrote: I wish The Bengals would look at the play Mixon got blown up on up the middle.  They will see it is not just a second or a split second.  They break the huddle, line up, and then stand there for the longest time, and you can see it is Mixon up the middle, and then they snap it just before delay of game and it is Mixon up the middle, and Jets knock him BANG backwards hard sending him to the bench needing medical attention.  

Now that play was too slow to get going, and it's already been stated on here that Bengals take more time to snap the ball than most NFL teams.  The Bengals may think they are reading the defense, but on many plays against Jets it looked like the Jets defense was reading Bengals slow moving offense.  

I repeat that Joe Burrow and Chase played at LSU in a fast moving offense. It is what Joe Burrow excels at.  They are not getting the most of Joe Burrow if they are not going to go more up tempo style that he is great in. Now with a good lead late, I can see eating the clock, but that was not the case when they took all day and Mixon got blown up for it.  

I wish The Bengals would go back and look at that play Mixon got clobbered on.  They will see that they took so long to snap the ball, they might as well have yelled out to The Jets that it was going to be Mixon Up The Middle. 

I've tried telling you that this doesn't matter and Au165 has also told you that there is no correlation. I will put numbers to this now. I am using 15 seconds left on the play clock as my metric for running plays 'fast'. I can change it up, if necessary.

Running plays with play clock having more than 15 seconds to go 


20 carries, 4.0 yards per carry, 0.04 EPA per attempt, 50% success rate

Running plays with play clock having less than 15 seconds to go


175 carries, 4.1 yards per carry, -0.09 EPA per attempt, 38% success rate

Passing plays with play clock having more than 15 seconds to go


27 attempts, 6.85 yards per attempt, 37% success rate, 0.001 EPA per attempt

Passing plays with play clock having less than 15 seconds to go


240 attempts, 8.05 yards per attempt, 51% success rate, 0.22 EPA per attempt


So, the Bengals pass significantly better when the play clock gets low. While rushing with a high play clock might look better, it is only off of 20 attempts. These were likely situational decisions and are not reflective of anything significant. The sample size is too small.

In closing, it doesn't matter. If it did matter, Cincinnati performs better when the play clock gets low.
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RE: I Saw Bengals Telegraphing Offense Plays To Jets Defense - KillerGoose - 11-02-2021, 05:22 PM

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