05-02-2023, 04:44 PM
(05-02-2023, 04:11 PM)KillerGoose Wrote: I think we have a lot of data on Senzel already that suggests he is what he is at this point. He is still young at 27, but he has had nearly 1000 at bats and has proven over those at bats that he is nothing but a below average hitter. It's definitely not impossible, but is probably unlikely that he is going to see such a sudden improvement. My guess is that by season end has regressed down to an OPS+ of 80-ish, batting somewhere around .240.
Would love to be wrong there and see him break out.
I think you're right that some regression will come and he ends up closer to the back of his card...
Career BABIP: .291
2022 BABIP: .341
Career HR/FB: 9.1%
2022 HR/FB: 16.7%
He's 27, but is in his age 28 season, neither of which are young. I think we're just still dealing with a small sample size this season and he had a great 6 game stretch. Hope he keeps it up, but 162 games generally does a pretty good job in the end of proving if you've actually gotten better or just had a small hot streak early on.
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