02-06-2019, 06:43 PM
(02-06-2019, 05:59 PM)Au165 Wrote: As stated above, to believe a combination of the injured players don't equate to even 1 win is what would be ignorant. If you take Vegas's approach to assigning wins, a starting QB is usually worth .5 to 1 win by himself. Most other players aren't worth a half a point but as a sum of all the parts you can EASILY attribute a single win greater to the total with the injured players back if all you did was add back in the QB.
As to the range, that was my whole point. No one knows what they will be but to say the best possible outcome is equal to this year is....well see above. Throwing out how you think they will do is an opinion and a fair one at that, placing a "ceiling" equal to this years win total is where the ignorance is because the injuries do play into a projection of success. It may seem like semantics but there is actually some game theory behind this.
Yeah, the odds are we will get more than 6 wins this year with the injured players coming back and the new coaches. The Defense WILL be better, cannot be any worse. The Offense should be better under an offensive minded coach etc.
How much more than 6 wins is the question.
