03-09-2021, 07:22 PM
(03-09-2021, 06:48 PM)Wes Mantooth Wrote: Not a chance. There's no way Carl Lawson is worth anywhere near the franchise tag, much less "easily worth" that amount.
You don't franchise guys that had 1 good but not great year, with 14 career starts, and who missed 13 of the 32 games the two years prior. Not especially when they're coming off 5.5 sacks.
You can mock the sacks total all you like, but that's what drives the market more than anything else for edge rushers. No one is saying pressures and QB hits are meaningless, but you won't find too many DE's with sub 10 sacks inking 17 million dollar deals the following seasons.
Fwiw, spotrac has Lawson's market value at 8.8 mil per, projected out at a 3 year 30.3 million dollar deal.
https://www.spotrac.com/nfl/cincinnati-bengals/carl-lawson-21858/market-value/
I wouldn't pretend this site is dead accurate, because no one can set the values other than the teams spending the money. But they're usually in the right ballpark when it comes to these. They may be a little low on this one, because his price will go up in weaker FA class for his position. But it won't go up all that much.
I'll personally be really surprised if Lawson sees north of 12 mil per. (I think that number lies in 8-12 range) And I'll eat my hat, take a video of me doing it and post it on here, if he see 16+ mil.
1.) He has had three good seasons while he has been here. Were not dealing with some one hit wonder like you claim. The only knock on him is wether or not he can stay healthy.
When he has played he has been our best pass rusher.
2.) Michael Johnson literally got paid in 2014 for a similar season to what Carl Lawson did this last season.
Lawson is going to get payed in free agency. if not he will go to contender light it up and get paid next season. He is an elite player that we will miss him next season and beyond.