Catch rate over expected

[wcu]

NFL Next Gen Stats ranks Tee Higgins as the #1 receiver making difficult catches (and Ja'marr is on the list too!). https://www.nfl.com/news/next-gen-stats-top-10-pass-catchers-by-croe-tee-higgins-christian-kirk-top-the-b

1
Tee Higgins
Cincinnati Bengals · Age 23
Catch rate: 67.3%
xCatch: 57.5%
CROE: +9.8%


We spent much of 2021 raving about the record-breaking debut season for Ja'Marr Chase, but the Bengals didn't get to the Super Bowl on the strength of the rookie alone. While Chase victimized defenders down the sideline, Higgins played an important role in the often-overlooked (but ever-important) intermediate portion of Cincinnati's passing attack.



Higgins' catch rate didn't land near the top of the league, but the most important metric in these rankings -- catch rate over expected -- separates him from the rest. As a receiver who operates in the most congested area of the field, Higgins consistently exceeded expectations, finishing with the sixth-most receiving yards (503) and fourth-most expected points added on intermediate targets. And in that traffic-filled region of the field, Higgins proved to be an ideal target to find open space, settle in and catch accurate passes for positive gains, with 73 percent of his total receiving yards coming via air yards (801).



All of this combined to help Higgins post the league's top catch rate over expected at +9.8 percent. It certainly helps to have Joe Burrow as your quarterback, but Higgins proved he's pretty darn good at playing the position, too.

[Nicomo Cosca]

Both Tee and Chase were struggling with contested catches early on in the season, but they both seemed to improve as time went on. And Tee was out there Mossing dudes with a torn labrum to boot.

[Whatever]

(06-15-2022, 01:52 AM)Nicomo Cosca Wrote: Both Tee and Chase were struggling with contested catches early on in the season, but they both seemed to improve as time went on. And Tee was out there Mossing dudes with a torn labrum to boot.

Both Chase and Higgins had pretty poor contested catch %'s per PFF.  Both made some big ones down the stretch, however.

I think the thing that's been overlooked in this is Joe Burrow was #1 in Completion % Over Expected at +6%.  #2 was Kyler Murray at +3.9%, so it wasn't even close.  There were only 3 guys over +3%.  Of course, when people scouted him for the draft, Burrow's insane ball placement skills really stood out.  I think that is inflating Tee and Chase's #'s in this particular category.

[*Go Cards*]

It's simple, all our WR's presently are damn good

[*bengalfan74*]

(06-15-2022, 10:24 AM)Go Cards Wrote: It's simple, all our WR's presently are damn good

Right

Who knows how long we can keep the dynamic trio together ? I'd love for it to be a lot longer than it most likely will be. But whatever it ends up being it's gonna be fun !

Enjoy 

[Mgbrown66]

Higgins has an enormous wingspan. That helps.

[*Nate (formerly eliminate08)*]

(06-14-2022, 09:01 PM)wcu Wrote: NFL Next Gen Stats ranks Tee Higgins as the #1 receiver making difficult catches (and Ja'marr is on the list too!). https://www.nfl.com/news/next-gen-stats-top-10-pass-catchers-by-croe-tee-higgins-christian-kirk-top-the-b

1
Tee Higgins
Cincinnati Bengals · Age 23
Catch rate: 67.3%
xCatch: 57.5%
CROE: +9.8%


We spent much of 2021 raving about the record-breaking debut season for Ja'Marr Chase, but the Bengals didn't get to the Super Bowl on the strength of the rookie alone. While Chase victimized defenders down the sideline, Higgins played an important role in the often-overlooked (but ever-important) intermediate portion of Cincinnati's passing attack.



Higgins' catch rate didn't land near the top of the league, but the most important metric in these rankings -- catch rate over expected -- separates him from the rest. As a receiver who operates in the most congested area of the field, Higgins consistently exceeded expectations, finishing with the sixth-most receiving yards (503) and fourth-most expected points added on intermediate targets. And in that traffic-filled region of the field, Higgins proved to be an ideal target to find open space, settle in and catch accurate passes for positive gains, with 73 percent of his total receiving yards coming via air yards (801).



All of this combined to help Higgins post the league's top catch rate over expected at +9.8 percent. It certainly helps to have Joe Burrow as your quarterback, but Higgins proved he's pretty darn good at playing the position, too.

Wow, surprised me a bit as early in the season Tee had some bad drops. But he did make lots of contested catches later
on as Nicomo here says. Tee looks even bigger this offseason and he is so young and talented and goes up for the ball so 
well and this pretty much affirms this. Thanks WCU, good stuff.

(06-15-2022, 01:52 AM)Nicomo Cosca Wrote: Both Tee and Chase were struggling with contested catches early on in the season, but they both seemed to improve as time went on. And Tee was out there Mossing dudes with a torn labrum to boot.

Tee Mossed the Ravens Secondary big time in the 2nd game. 

That was a man's catch over 2 defenders deep down the middle of the field. Probably my favorite catch from last season.