(03-27-2024, 03:30 PM)Isaac Curtis: The Real #85 Wrote: I do not think you trade down if there is a chance a real difference maker falls to us at #18.
I'd put the following 15 guys in that basket:
QB (3): Williams, Daniels, Maye
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WR (3): Harrison, Nabers, Odunze
OT (4): Alt, Fashanu, Fuaga, Latham
TE (1): Bowers
DT (1): Murphy
CB (2): Arnold, Mitchell
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DE (1): Turner
We are out on the QBs and probably DEs. Then there is the next basket of guys. If that all is left, that's when I'd talk trade down. Though there are some who would help a lot. Again, we are probably out on QBs & DEs, and any of thse guys going before #18 helps us. We'd need 3 to guarantee one of the top guys falls to us.
QB (2): McCarty, Nix
DE (2): Verse, Latu
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OT (3): Fuatanu, Mims, Guyton
WR (1): Thomas
CB (1): DeJean
IOL (1): Powers-Johnson
DT (1): Newton
I'd be pretty happy with any of those 7. Maybe a couple more (McKinstry, Morgan, Mitchell). But 24-27 is probably as low as I'd be willing to go trading back. Not a fan of switching a guys position (Barton, Fautanu at G, etc).
But tems with later firsts AND earlier seconds is a small universe if you want Sweat in Rd2. Though another 3rd could be ammo to move up.
There is a good chance a few of those guys on the second list make it to 27.
In the mock drafts I've done I occasionally get Lathom, Fashana, or Bowers falling to 27.
Mims and Fautanu make it there a decent amount.
Powers Johnson and Barton make it there a decent amount.
Newton too.
I'd feel much better taking Bowers at 27 than 18 in terms of value because you improved your 2nd round pick and added a 3rd or 4th.
But hey, the Bengals tried to do it ten years ago and missed out on Ragnow so you never know.
I think the issue there was they were too narrow-minded in their focus (reaching for Price) and they should have traded down further if that was their intent.
If they stand pat at 18 and get a good player I wont complain.
I'd prefer oline, DT, or corner.
I'd certainly like one of the top 3 wideouts but that wont happen unless theres a run on OT and Edge and QB.
But WR is such a high value position that it's very doubtful.
I'm leary of pick 49. I think the player you take there isn't much different from a player you take in the 3rd.