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Every time I run a simulator I'm not happy without a trade down. We've all talked about why: similar talent, many needs, doubling at DL and OG, ect...
...but who is dealing with us? Houston seems popular. If the Steelers love Dart maybe they want up. Maybe Denver for a WR. Who is your odds on pick for a player or team that would pose such an offer to us? I have still to do a mock but sell me on where we are trading down to. I say this as many other teams may have the same thought on talent from our spot through the mid-2nd.
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Off the top of my head:
The Rams may want to jump TB for Jihaad Campbell.
Houston needs an OT, which is a thinner spot in the draft than OG.
The Chargers, who need playmakers, could seek to get ahead of the Broncos just to screw them and take the best offensive weapon (TE/WR/RB) away.
Then there’s the long list of players who are gonna be higher on other boards than the Bengals (McMillan, Durden, Egbuka, Golden, Shedeur, Hampton, ….)
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At 17 I could see a QB needy team making a play on Dart or Sanders. Maybe the Bills fall in love with a DL. Outside of that, maybe a team with 9 or more picks would want to trade for #49. The 49ers and Ravens have 11 picks this year. Several teams have 9 or 10.
I'd like to see them do something creative this year. There have to be teams that know that they're in a rebuild and will want to stock up on draft capital. That would be ammo to trade up for their future QB. The Bengals could deal next year's second to one of those teams. Or offer a pick swap like trading next year's 3, 4, and 5 for another team's 4, 5, and 6 in order to gain more picks this year. They need an infusion of talent NOW. They need competition all over the place. They need to get guys in the pipeline and they need to be able to strike a balance between need and BPA. The only feasible way to do that is to acquire more picks in this draft. Somehow, someway, they need to make that happen.