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Lacking HRs
#1
One thing I have noticed about the team this year is how few HRs they seem to be hitting.
EDLC is the only guy on pace to have 25+ this year, but not quite sure he gets to 30. Currently sitting at 12 across 68 games with 94 games left.
Steer, Stephenson, and Candelario all had 19+ last year.
This year, no one else aside from EDLC has >7.

Do y'all think Reds end up having anyone with 30+?
How many besides EDLC end up having 20+?

I lean toward EDLC ends up in mid-high 20's, maybe someone like Benson or Hays ends up with 15-20 if they get enough games the rest of the season.
A handful of others in the low-mid teens.

I miss 2021 when Reds had 3 hitting 30+ (Suarez, Votto, Castellanos), 2 more guys hitting 20+ (India, Winker).
Zac Taylor 2019-2020: 6 total wins
Zac Taylor 2021-2022: Double-digit wins each season, plus 5 postseason wins
Zac Taylor 2023: 9 wins despite losing Burrow half the season
Zac Taylor 2024: Started 1-4. Ended 9-8 but barely missed playoffs

Changes needed to do better in Sept/Oct moving forward.

Sorry for Party Rocking!

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#2
I wouldn't miss the HRs if they'd play small ball effectively and consistently. I think Austin Hays could have been our power guy this year if he coulda stayed healthy but I dont think that's gonna happen. Strange, how a supposed hitters park isn't helping the home team much. We used to talk about how "yada yada was going to turn his doubles into HR now that he plays in GABP" and I've yet to see it. Hopefully CES becomes that guy, but this organization did this team a massive disservice by not signing or trading for a power veteran bat.
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#3
The Reds seem to hope that guys with warning track power will get 15 HRs instead of 5-10. Rather than targeting guys with 25-30 HR power who will have some of their fly balls turn into extra HRs and 35-40 HR power.

It's a strategy that never fails to confuse me. Build a team to take advantage of your home stadium.

It's up there with the Reds pitchers having the 29th ground ball % despite pitching half their games in GABP. Cueto's best years? Also his best GB% years. Same with Arroyo. Castillo was a big time GB% pitcher. Gray's two good years here were >50% GB. Fly ball pitchers can succeed here but it's less likely and they're doing it the hard way for no good reason.

Sign ground ball pitchers and power hitters seems like the easiest way to dominate GABP.
Instead they do the exact opposite and load up on fly ball pitchers and low power guys.
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