O-line prediction

[*ochocincos*]

(03-07-2022, 02:28 PM)Au165 Wrote: That’s not what teams expect when they take those guys, from injuries (especially last year lots of injuries to back half) maturity to other issues it may occur but the expectations are exactly as I laid out above from an NFL scout. It’s how they operate in terms of looking at how they address needs and project production when thinking about FA and draft entering an off season and even projecting out multiple years.

Side note, be careful with “starts” as a start is considered first snap but if your the slot corner or the 3rd WR and you come out in base personnel you don’t get a “start”. Jason Kelce came out and played the first snap in week 18 to keep a streak alive then left the field and got a start. Snap share is probably a better metric. Jalen Phillips in Miami for example only “started” 5 games but took the second post snaps on the team at DE so he probably was more of the “starter” than the starts would say but I think they had another DE who took heavy package snaps.

Typically we'll see more teams who draft early start more 1st and 2nd rounders compared to teams who pick late.
A lot of that is because the teams who pick late typically have a playoff-caliber roster going into the draft.

Some teams also almost always address their starters in FA so that they can save the draft for pure BPA, even if it means that player sits as depth for a year (or two).

How many times did we see Marvin's Bengals draft a CB after already having 3 pretty decent CBs, only for that drafted CB to ride the bench?

I will say that I think the Bengals have the ability to cover all their starters with solid-or-better players in FA if they do it right.
With that said, I think there should be a handful of NFL-ready players at 31 that could come in and play well on a healthy number of snaps as rookies if they do need more of an immediate contributor or two.