11-21-2018, 06:40 PM
(11-21-2018, 05:17 PM)Lucidus Wrote: Correct, in a very simplistic game of chance.
However, in a much more complex situation like an NFL playoff game, past results can reasonably be used to surmise future probabilities.
That doesn't mean that anything is guaranteed, only that one outcome -- based on prior evidence -- is more likely than not.
Can "more likely probabilities" be wrong? Of course. However, it would not be at all illogical for one to feel more confident siding with the accumulation of past evidence and results.
I gotta ask, where are you from?
