03-16-2020, 12:35 PM
(03-16-2020, 10:25 AM)michaelsean Wrote: I have a question. Everything seems to be predicated on flattening the curve. That's the response to everything. What if you flatten it too much? What happens if in three weeks Ohio only has 1000 people with it. You can't lift these bans because you will be right back where you started.
Possible. But, this is a new virus and we are still collecting data to determine how bad it really is. In two weeks we have more data from the countries where this new virus is more prevalent to inform our decision making. If the mortality rate is closer to that of the flu then the restrictions probably don’t need to be renewed. If the mortality rate is closer to 2-4% then somewhere we need to have a death panel to determine the acceptable number of dead we are willing to sustain so MLB games aren’t disrupted. The last sentence is facetious, but you get the idea.
You’ve heard the idiom about the horse gettin’ out of the barn? Well, so it is with stopping a pandemic. Easier to keep the house in the barn because once the horse is out of the barn it’s a helluva lot harder to get the horse back in. Same with genies, but I have no experience with them like I do with horses.