04-30-2020, 11:34 AM
(04-30-2020, 10:40 AM)BmorePat87 Wrote: This gives a good break down of what models are and aren't useful for
https://www.npr.org/transcripts/833337645
It's wrong for anyone to use a model to say "this will happen", but they're useful for saying, "this could happen".
They may have been using the IHME model if you're referring to someone in the administration, which its creator says they were pretty pessimistic when making it with regards to how well people would social distance. He now says he hopes that, as states eye the numbers on when they reopen, he wasn't too optimistic about how long people will maintain social distancing.
It’s the Ohio people and they used one from Ohio State I believe specifically for Ohio, but I get your point.
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