08-31-2020, 02:59 PM
(08-31-2020, 08:32 AM)Belsnickel Wrote: RCP hasn't updated their EC map in a while. I will be interested to see some of the state-by-state polling post-convention and with everything going on. National polls from the convention should be coming out this week, and that will be interesting to see the effects on polling.
What the conservatives are harping on right now, though, is the betting odds: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/betting_odds/2020_president/
They put the race at a near neck-and-neck scenario, which isn't at all surprising to be honest. The polling aggregate folks I look at all have it as Biden with a slight edge. This is, and will remain, close.
That sounds about right.
It is still close because we don't really know which side will get out in numbers to vote.
A 59% disapproval rate for Trump is comforting but FAR from a clincher if half those polled don't care enough to vote.
You can bet Trump's 38% of all voters care enough.
![[Image: 4CV0TeR.png]](https://i.imgur.com/4CV0TeR.png)
