11-04-2020, 11:25 AM
(11-04-2020, 11:16 AM)michaelsean Wrote: Biden had a 9% national lead the last I saw. Unless that came down significantly they will be way off.
It depends on where you were looking. 538 had him at 8.4%, RealClearPolitics had him at 6.5%, and NBC had him at 7%. There are still plenty of votes to be counted so I wouldn’t be surprised to see Biden grow his lead, but not by that much. At the end of the day, polls aren’t trying to predict margins of victory, they are just trying to eliminate uncertainty and give a picture of who is favored to win. So far, they have done a good job of that but there are still plenty of votes to be counted.
