2020 Election

[Belsnickel]

(11-04-2020, 11:25 AM)KillerGoose Wrote: It depends on where you were looking. 538 had him at 8.4%, RealClearPolitics had him at 6.5%, and NBC had him at 7%. There are still plenty of votes to be counted so I wouldn’t be surprised to see Biden grow his lead, but not by that much. At the end of the day, polls aren’t trying to predict margins of victory, they are just trying to eliminate uncertainty and give a picture of who is favored to win. So far, they have done a good job of that but there are still plenty of votes to be counted.

And that's not even considering the margins of error. Honestly, the polling isn't too far off, just like in 2016. The issue is when people look at those numbers and get over-confident and don't understand the margins that exist in polling data. Does this mean the polls are perfect? Absolutely not. Low response rates have made modern polling extremely difficult, but a lot of the complaints about polling are coming from people who don't really understand it all, anyway.