FoxNews declares Dems take control of Senate

[Dill]

(01-06-2021, 07:17 PM)Belsnickel Wrote: The Dems will lose the Senate in 2022, no doubt about it to me. They may even lose the House, as well. That depends a lot on how the GOP reacts int he wake of everything.

The GOP is pretty broken right now, and former luminaries like Sarah Palin are floating the idea of a 3rd party as a means of separating from establishment (party) machinery, which many in her camp blame for losing the Senate and presidency--because they failed to support Trump enough. That suggests political fantasy may continue to guide political strategy for many in the party. Other more establishment types are repeating what they said after Romney's loss--the party needs to recognize demographic changes and work actively to include minorities etc. But that is not what built the Trump coalition.

it will be the work of Fox commentators and other right wing opinion leaders to formulate a narrative which can knit the party back into a large enough voting block again by 2022. I think there is a good chance, though, that large numbers of Trump-motivated voters will lapse back into apathy. Others will only become more extreme an alienating. 

I should add that I doubt that yesterday's events are the final Trump outrage. More craziness to come in the final weeks. 

All of which is to say that, while conventional wisdom and precedent suggest Dems losses in 2022, I think this next election cycle may prove an exception. If Biden can keep a steady course, reap the benefits of pandemic recovery, I would not be surprised if Dems hold the House at least. 

Two years is a long time in politics though. And anti-socialist disinformation is still a potent political tool.