NFL's 4th and 15 proposal and the Bengals

[Wes Mantooth]

(05-29-2020, 01:40 PM)fredtoast Wrote: The numbers don't support your theory.  Over the last 5 years NFL teams have converted only 21 of 123 4th and 15+ situations.  No on QB has converted more than one, and there are as many lower tier QBs who have done it (Geno Smith, T.J. Yates, Lac Edwards, Tom Savage, Blake Bortles, Danial Jones, Josh McCowan) as big name stars.

A lot wrong with this. 

4th and 15+...  Key word (sign) here: Plus.

Please go back and remove any plays that had a distance greater than 15.  You can't factor in the success rate of downs like 4th and 25 to accurately predict the success rate of 4th and 15.

Also, this rule would be an untimed play. So please go back and remove plays where teams had to either a.) throw to the sideline to stop the clock b.) hurry up after a sack c.) throw a hail mary as time expired.

Ill wait for your new results. Until then these numbers are meaningless in comparison.

Thanks.  :andy: