10-22-2020, 01:52 PM
I wish I could pin this somewhere, but for anyone who wants to actually look at the data right now: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/
Yes, yes. "BuT tHe PolLs In 2016, MaTt!" I've said it what feels like a thousand times, already, the polls weren't wrong, people were making incorrect inferences from them. The guy who runs this site, Nate Silver, actually had articles during the 2016 election saying that pundits were too confident, that Trump had a chance based on the polling. So shut the **** up, I'm tired of hearing the dumbassery from folks that don't understand polling and statistics.
For anyone interested, I feel like they provide some helpful visualizations about the data right now. There are some really tight races that I was not expecting to see.
Yes, yes. "BuT tHe PolLs In 2016, MaTt!" I've said it what feels like a thousand times, already, the polls weren't wrong, people were making incorrect inferences from them. The guy who runs this site, Nate Silver, actually had articles during the 2016 election saying that pundits were too confident, that Trump had a chance based on the polling. So shut the **** up, I'm tired of hearing the dumbassery from folks that don't understand polling and statistics.
For anyone interested, I feel like they provide some helpful visualizations about the data right now. There are some really tight races that I was not expecting to see.
"A great democracy has got to be progressive, or it will soon cease to be either great or a democracy..." - TR
"The test of our progress is not whether we add more to the abundance of those who have much; it is whether we provide enough for those who have too little." - FDR
"The test of our progress is not whether we add more to the abundance of those who have much; it is whether we provide enough for those who have too little." - FDR