03-30-2017, 01:40 PM
(03-29-2017, 10:05 PM)Housh Wrote: Yeah its a fuzzy stat to use then. Lets say a RB like Gio doesn't get a lot of targets but most of his catches go past 8 yards and hes a first down machine. His low target count would suggest hes a 4th or 5th option. But in reality hes the second option whenever hes on the field.
His YPC would definitely depict his importance to the offense as well as his number of 1st downs
Yeah I'm not following this logic at all. If Andy Dalton throws to his receivers in this order...
AJ Green - 150 targets
Tyler Eifert- 110 targets
Brandon LaFell - 100 targets
Tyler Boyd - 80 targets
Gio Bernard - 65 targets
...Gio is indeed the 5th option in the pass game. What he does with the ball is irrelevant to where he is in the pecking order. Fwiw, I know you were just using Gio as an example, but WRs are almost always going to get more 1st downs than RBs.
Now I will say that it's always annoyed me that people look at "catch %" as a tribute or indictment of a receiver. If anything the catch % is more about the QB, as the "catch %" (a misleading term if there ever was one) is just the pass attempts and completions aimed at that receiver. If you take AJ Green and give him an inaccurate QB like Kaepernick, his catch % would suffer dearly.
Also, catch % does not account for how shallow or deep the routes are. Naturally, shorter routes are completed more often. That's why RB's typically have a catch % north of 80%....while WR's typically sit somewhere around 55%. The term "catch %" should always be used in association with drops.
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