2020 Presidential Election

[Dill]

(05-23-2020, 01:40 AM)samhain Wrote: I feel like any bland, garden variety Dem politician at the national level should be able to be Trump at this point.  The path is there and it's fairly clear.  There are a lot of once-red states in various stages of turning blue, and Trump is an incumbent with a shittier approval rating than Carter had during the Iran hostage crisis.  

However, if anyone can screw this up, it's Biden.  He just can't help but say something awkward or unintelligible every few weeks.  He needs to get on his game.  Maybe he needs to get on the alleged speed that DJT takes to boost his cognitive function.

Trump is as beatable as any incumbent can be, but the Dems are great a screwing these sorts of things up, and I fear the found the exact man to do that job in Biden.

That's why the vice presidential selection will be important. People just want Biden to pull in votes and then if elected hold down the fort, settle the WH chaos. If he gets a decent VEEP then people will feel some security.

Biden is indeed "closest to Trump" in that he doesn't learn from his mistakes. Unlike many of my Dem friends, I think he lost his debate with Ryan by substituting a laugh and head shake for substantive answers. We knew Hillary could debate anyone competently, but each Biden/Trump debate will be a crap shoot. When Biden feels he is on a roll, he wings it, sans filter. He is a good person so he doesn't offend and divide to the degree Trump does. But he could shave off percentages off the polls for month after month, until the election is a tie by Nov. The search for Trump equivalence points--"racist" statements or allegations of sexual assault accompanied by cries of "lib hypocrisy"--will be at fever pitch by August.

Framing Biden's last gaff as "calling out a whole race" probably won't change any minds. The RWM will re-circulate that as hyper-denigration of "every black," but most black people (lol, I'm calling out "most" of a race here), know very well why they are not voting for Trump. Even Allan West, Candace Owens, and Diamond and Silk repeating the "party of segregation" mantra nightly won't move that needle.