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What Are You Looking For in Friday Preseason Game One |
Posted by: kevin - 08-10-2023, 11:03 PM - Forum: JUNGLE NOISE
- Replies (51)
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Besides NO INJURIES, which everybody always says.
I will be looking at what Ravens think will be Bengals new weakness, DB's. I think Ravens are wrong, and Bengals DB's will be just fine. However I want to see the DB's in the first quarter. 4th quarter of preseason one is often guys that won't make the team anyway. I want to see the 1st quarter DB's in action on Friday Night. Hopefully they don't get lit up and burned as Ravens think after Bengals lost so many DB's. Bengals have been drafting DB heavy and the 2022 top DB picks should look OK, they are not rookies.
But besides no injuries, what are you looking for Friday Night.
I live where I get a Columbus station that has the game on, not a later replay. I will be in front of TV watching some Bengals early tomorrow night. I'm also interested in who starts for Packers with Aaron Rodgers on NY Jets now. Could be good to know for late round or free agency in Fantasy Football Leagues, because Packers will have somebody throwing the ball. Packers always seem to have a QB ready to replace the one leaving.
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PFF Bengals 2023 team/player predictions |
Posted by: Soonerpeace - 08-10-2023, 10:37 PM - Forum: JUNGLE NOISE
- Replies (19)
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PFF predicts another epic Bengals season in 2023
CINCINNATI BENGALS
1. Charlie Jones finds a way to significantly contribute as a rookie
Though most of these predictions are rooted in some kind of hard data, this one is truly just a gut feeling. In fact, things need to go wrong for this to have any chance of coming true. With Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd in place, there is no real path to the field for rookie Charlie Jones. And yet, Trenton Irwin played more than 350 snaps last season, including random games where he became a real target for Joe Burrow.
Jones just consistently made plays last season at Purdue, seeing 154 targets and gaining 2.7 yards per route run. The Bengals shouldn’t need him to make any kind of contribution, but I suspect he finds a way to make one anyway.
2. Irv Smith Jr. has a Pro Bowl season
For years, the feeling every offseason has been “if only Irv Smith Jr. could stay healthy.” In a four-year NFL career, he has played just more than 1,500 snaps in total, between one and two full seasons worth. Dropping a critical pass in the playoff game last season soured many fans on him, but he had just five drops on 126 total targets as a Minnesota Viking and still has high-end athleticism and speed. Joe Burrow has been friendly to tight ends during his time in the NFL, and if Smith can stay healthy this year, he could be a weapon in this offense.
3. Joe Burrow remains a top-five most-sacked quarterback
This was one of last season’s bold predictions, and it hit. Despite significant additions to the offensive line, Joe Burrow continues to take more sacks than he should — he simply skews in that direction stylistically. Burrow would rather squeeze every last ounce out of a play than give up on it and live to fight another down.
For his career, 24.3% of pressured plays result in sacks — a largely quarterback-driven data point — a figure that comes in more than twice as high as the lowest quarterbacks in the league. Orlando Brown Jr. represents another significant addition to the line, but it won’t stop Burrow from being Burrow. He will remain one of the most-sacked quarterbacks in the league.
So, how did PFF see the Bengals' 2023 regular-season panning out? Let's take a look.
PFF simulates Bengals 2023 regular season
* Week 1 @ Browns: 27-31 Loss
* Week 2 vs. Ravens: 16-26 Loss
* Week 3 vs. Rams: 22-15 Win
* Week 4 @ Titans: 24-18 Win
* Week 5 @ Cardinals: 24-21 Win
* Week 6 vs. Seahawks: 34-13 Win
* Week 8 @ 49ers: 15-37 Loss
* Week 9 vs. Bills: 30-20 Win
* Week 10 vs. Texans: 15-5 Win
* Week 11 @ Ravens: 29-26 Win
* Week 12 vs. Steelers: 30-27 Win
* Week 13 @ Jaguars: 26-12 Win
* Week 14 vs. Colts: 34-14 Win
* Week 15 vs. Vikings: 12-22 Loss
* Week 16 @ Steelers: 30-3 Win
* Week 17 @ Chiefs: 31-38 Loss
* Week 18 vs. Browns: 27-10 Win
PFF predicts the Bengals to go 12-5 with losses to the Browns and Ravens right out of the gate, putting them in the exact same situation they found themselves in last year. They go on to win their next four games to sit at 4-2 before losing big to the 49ers out of the BYE week and then ripping off six straight wins in what's thought to be their toughest stretch of the season.
The Bengals are projected to close out the season with losses to the Vikings and Chiefs in two of their final four games. They finish strong with a commanding win over the Browns in Week 18 to boast a 12-5 record at the end of the season.
Joe Burrow throws for an eye-popping 5,209 yards, 39 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions. The yardage total is astounding but the double-digit interceptions could potentially take him out of the MVP running.
The most surprising thing about this projection is that none of the three receivers finish with 1,000 yards to their name. They all have over 900 yards receiving with Tee Higgins leading the way with 995, Ja'Marr Chase coming in second with 988, and Tyler Boyd bringing up the rear with 949 yards.
Joe Mixon has an incredible bounce-back season, totaling 1,930 yards from scrimmage with 1,324 of those coming on the ground. He finishes with five rushing touchdowns. Chase Brown has 422 total yards and two rushing scores during his rookie campaign.
Shockingly, when I had PFF simulate the three other AFC North opponents' seasons, they had the Ravens finishing with a 7-10 record, the Browns finishing just two games back of the Bengals with a 10-7 record, and the Steelers actually finishing with the same record as Cincinnati. This would mean that the Bengals would still win the division due to sweeping Pittsburgh but who would have predicted that?
It is worth noting that these projections change with every simulation so this was just one round of these. I'll be curious to see how much things change for the Bengals and within the division the next time I run the simulation.
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What Other Bets Should I Put On The Season? |
Posted by: BFritz21 - 08-09-2023, 11:49 PM - Forum: JUNGLE NOISE
- Replies (21)
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I posted how I bet on Burrow winning the MVP and other bets a while ago.
Friday, I'm presenting at a Driver Intervention Program up in Blue Ash (Cinci) and figured I could swing by the casino on the way home.
Should I just double down on those or what other bets do you like?
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Joe Burrow contract theory |
Posted by: GreenDragon - 08-08-2023, 01:11 PM - Forum: JUNGLE NOISE
- Replies (48)
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Just throwing this out there to see what other people think.
What are the odds that Joey B takes a much more team friendly contract so that it's easier to re-sign Tee and Ja'Marr and who knows who else?
I really think WINNING is more important to Joe than being the highest paid player.
Thoughts?
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Jonah settling in at RT |
Posted by: ochocincos - 08-08-2023, 12:29 PM - Forum: JUNGLE NOISE
- Replies (56)
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Hearing from multiple people Jonah is doing really well at RT so far in TC.
Liscow and Rapien talked about it yesterday in LOB podcast. Charlie Goldsmith tweeted about it as well, saying he's "getting ready to call the right tackle battle because of how good Jonah Williams has looked."
Frank Pollack was quoted saying, "It looks like he (Williams) has been there (RT) for years."
If this plays out, the biggest question on the OL might finally be answered, and it now becomes how far along has Volson come with a full offseason?
It would be unfortunate for Jackson Carman not grabbing a starting gig in his 3rd season, but he's competing with D'Ante Smith as the swing tackle.
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